United States Government Accountability Office
Why GAO Did This Study
NASA uses RPS to generate electrical power in missions in which solar panels or batteries would be ineffective. RPS convert heat generated by the radioactive decay of Pu-238 into electricity. DOE maintains a capability to produce RPS for NASA missions, as well as a limited and aging supply of Pu-238 that will be depleted in the 2020s, according to NASA and DOE officials and documentation. With NASA funding, DOE initiated the Pu-238 Supply Project in 2011, with a goal of producing 1.5 kg of new Pu-238 per year by 2026. Without new Pu-238, future NASA missions requiring RPS are at risk.
GAO was asked to review planned RPS and Pu-238 production to support future NASA missions. This report (1) describes how NASA selects RPS for missions and what factors affect RPS and Pu-238 demand; and (2) evaluates DOE’s progress and challenges in meeting NASA’s RPS and Pu-238 demand. GAO reviewed NASA mission planning and DOE program documents, visited two DOE national laboratories involved in making new Pu-238 or RPS work, and interviewed agency officials.
What GAO Found
The National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) selects radioisotope power systems (RPS) for missions primarily based on the agency’s scientific objectives and mission destinations. Prior to the establishment of the Department of Energy’s (DOE) Supply Project in fiscal year 2011 to produce new plutonium-238 (Pu-238), NASA officials said that Pu-238 supply was a limiting factor in selecting RPS-powered missions.
After the initiation of the Supply Project, however, NASA officials GAO interviewed said that missions are selected independently of decisions on how to power them. Once a mission is selected, NASA considers power sources early in its mission review process. Multiple factors could affect NASA’s demand for RPS and Pu-238. For example, high costs associated with RPS and missions can affect the demand for RPS because, according to officials, NASA’s budget can only support one RPS mission about every 4 years. Expected technological advances in RPS efficiency could reduce NASA’s demand for RPS and Pu-238.
DOE has made progress in reestablishing Pu-238 production to meet NASA’s future demand to fuel RPS and has identified challenges to meeting its production goals. Specifically, since the start of the Supply Project, DOE has produced 100 grams of Pu-238 and expects to finalize production processes and produce interim quantities by 2019.
However, DOE has also identified several challenges to meeting the Supply Project goal of producing 1.5 kilograms (kg) of new Pu-238 per year by 2026. DOE officials GAO interviewed said that DOE has not perfected the chemical processing required to extract new Pu-238 from irradiated targets to meet production goals. These officials also said that achieving the Pu-238 production goal is contingent on the use of two reactors, but only one reactor is currently qualified for Pu-238 production while the second reactor awaits scheduled maintenance. Moreover, while DOE has adopted a new approach for managing the Supply Project and RPS production—based on a constant production approach—the agency has not developed an implementation plan that identifies milestones and interim steps that can be used to demonstrate progress in meeting production goals and addressing previously identified challenges.
GAO’s prior work shows that plans that include milestones and interim steps help an agency to set priorities, use resources efficiently, and monitor progress in achieving agency goals. By developing a plan with milestones and interim steps for DOE’s approach to managing Pu-238 and RPS production, DOE can show progress in implementing its approach and make adjustments when necessary.
Lastly, DOE’s new approach to managing the Supply Project does not improve its ability to assess the potential long-term effects of challenges DOE identified, such as chemical processing and reactor availability, or to communicate these effects to NASA. For example, DOE officials did not explain how the new approach would help assess the long-term effects of challenges, such as those related to chemical processing. Under Standards for Internal Control in the Federal Government, agencies should use quality information to achieve objectives and to communicate externally, so that external parties can help achieve agency objectives. Without the ability to assess the long-term effects of known challenges and communicate those effects to NASA, DOE may be jeopardizing NASA’s ability to use RPS as a power source for future missions.
What GAO Recommends
GAO is making three recommendations, including that DOE develop a plan with milestones and interim steps for its Pu-238 and RPS production approach, and that DOE assess the long-term effects of known production challenges and communicate these effects to NASA. DOE concurred with GAO’s recommendations.
Recommendations for Executive Action
To help ensure the availability of Pu-238 and RPS for space exploration, we recommend that the Secretary of Energy take the following three actions:
- develop an implementation plan with milestones and interim steps for the department’s management approach for Pu-238 and RPS production;
- assess the long-term effects that known challenges may have on production quantities, time frames, or required funding, and communicate these potential effects to NASA; and
- develop a more comprehensive system to track more systemic risks, beyond the specific technical risks identified by individual laboratories.
Agency Comments and Our Evaluation
DOE concurred with our three recommendations, stating that it is in the process of implementing a new approach, termed Constant Rate Production, for the RPS supply chain that is more responsive to NASA’s needs, among other things. In response to our first recommendation, DOE said that the agency is developing an integrated program plan to implement the Constant Rate Production strategy that will document the management approach for Pu-238 and RPS production. DOE expects to complete this plan in September 2018.
We believe that the development of an integrated program plan is an important step, and reiterate that any such plan documenting DOE’s management approach should include milestones and interim steps so DOE can show progress toward implementation, among other things. In response to our second recommendation, DOE said that the agency will work with NASA to identify, assess, and develop plans to address known challenges to the RPS program and expects to complete this effort in September 2019.
In response to our third recommendation, DOE said that as part of the integrated program plan it intends to develop in response to our first recommendation, the agency will include steps to ensure the current risk system includes comprehensive programmatic risks to support NASA’s risk management activities. We believe that implementing these actions will help DOE better ensure the availability of Pu-238 and RPS in support of NASA’s space exploration missions.